Browse the complete Report on:  Indonesia Agribusiness Report Q4 2010

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BMI View: Despite government initiatives to increase investments, many Indonesian agricultural sectors underperform compared to both global and regional peers. Much of the inefficiency comes from the poor infrastructure, which will remain a challenge given the geographic nature of the country. We expect production across all sectors to increase over the forecast period due to increased domestic demand, government goals of self-sufficiency and export opportunities. However, disease concerns in the livestock sector and the greater scarcity of arable land remain salient risks.
Key Views

• Rice production growth to 2013/14: 11.6%. Government initiatives to replace ageing trees will see an increase in yields as well as planted area, allowing Indonesia to compete with Ghana, the world's second largest producer.
• Poultry consumption growth to 2014: 36.1%. This will come from a combination of increased domestic demand and government initiatives aimed at not only making the country selfsufficient, but also allowing it to become a major regional exporter.
• Sugar production growth to 2013/14: 39.3%. This expansion will come mainly through improved yields and sucrose content in cane. Despite the production improvement, the country will likely remain, along with India and the EU, one of the world's largest sugar importers.
• 2010 Real GDP Growth: 5.2% (up from 4.5 in 2009; predicted to average 5.7% from now until 2014).
• Consumer Price Inflation: 5% y-o-y in June 2010 (down from 3.6% y-o-y in June 2009).
• Key Industry Developments
• A further expansion of agriculture in Indonesia's outer islands is necessary if the country is to meet the food needs of its massive population, we expect this project to face many difficulties before it becomes a reality. This will be difficult given the pervasive infrastructure deficiencies in most of the country outside of Java. There will be considerable opposition from environmental groups both at home and abroad, as has already happened with the palm oil sector.
• We have revised down our forecast for sugar production in 2009/10 as dry weather followed by unusually heavy rains in Java are expected to delay the start of the cane harvest and see sugar content fall. We now forecast Indonesia to produce 2.77mn tonnes of sugar, down from a previous forecast of 2.92mn tonnes. This leaves the country a long way from meeting domestic demand, which we forecast to rise to 4.48mn tonnes in 2009/10. The government is implementing trials of tropical sugar beet production as part of its plan to reach self-sufficiency in sugar, although self-sufficiency will still be many years away.
• In an attempt to bolster the domestic grinding industry, the government placed a tax on cocoa bean exports in April 2010. Groups representing cocoa growers believe the new tariff will see a large loss of income for farmers. Although we expect high cocoa prices and government investment to help increase output over the forecast period, the continuation of the tax could see production growth ultimately stall. This is due to diminished incentives to expand domestic output given that domestic processing is inefficient and costly, and the export tax reduces profit margins.

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Browse the complete Report on:  Indonesia Retail Report Q4 2010

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The Q410 BMI Colombia Retail Report forecasts that the country’s retail sales will grow from an estimated COP178,818bn (US$90.92bn) in 2010 to COP223,937bn (US$113.86bn) by 2014. Underlying economic growth, a young and increasingly urban population, the rise in disposable income and greater numbers of working women are key factors behind the forecast growth in Colombia’s retail sales. Colombia’s nominal GDP is predicted to be US$254.0bn in 2010, with 2009’s marginal growth of 0.4% expected to improve to 3.9% in 2010 as the economy begins to recover. Average annual GDP growth of 3.6% is predicted by BMI between 2010 and 2014. With the population increasing from an expected 46.3mn in 2010 to an estimated 48.7mn by 2014, GDP per capita is forecast to rise by 31.2% by the end of the forecast period, reaching US$7,197. Our forecast for consumer spending per capita is for an increase from a predicted US$3,582 in 2010 to US$5,496 by 2014.
Domestic demand will continue to be the key driver for the growth in GDP, with improvements in the security outlook feeding through to increased consumer and investor confidence. Although Colombia did not reach its target of 4mn tourist arrivals in 2009, due to factors such as the H1N1 virus and the global economic crisis, it still achieved 16% per cent growth in the number of foreign visitors last year, while the world average contracted by 4%.
In 2005, 64.5% of the Colombian population was described by the UN as economically active, with 39.2% in the 20-44 age range, which is crucial to retail sales. Over three-quarters of the population were classified by the UN as urban (77.4%). In 2010, the urban population is forecast to reach almost 80%, with 38.5% in the 20-44 age band and 67.3% of the population expected to be active. The retail sector benefits from Colombia’s status as the third most populous country in Latin America. Retail sub-sectors that are likely to see strong growth over the period include over the counter (OTC) pharmaceuticals, which BMI forecasts to grow from US$0.48bn in 2010 to US$0.80bn by 2014, a rise of 67.9%. Sales of consumer electronic products are estimated at US$3.46bn in 2010, with BMI forecasting a 43.9% rise to US$4.98bn by 2014.
Retail sales for our Latin American universe in 2010 are expected to reach US$1,166bn, based on varying national definitions. Total consumer spending for the region, based on BMI’s macroeconomic database, is predicted to be US$2,590bn. Mexico and Brazil are expected to account for an estimated 74.3% of regional retail sales in 2010, with those two countries plus Venezuela forecast to account for 84.6% of all retail sales in the region by 2014. For Colombia, its predicted 2010 market share of 7.8% is expected to fall to 6.3% by 2014.


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Browse complete Report Public Sector IT Opportunity – Indonesia

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The primary objective of this study is to provide a comprehensive background of public sector dynamics in Indonesia to enable vendors to address market opportunities more successfully.

ReportsandReports comprises an online library of 10,000 reports, in-depth market research studies of over 5000 micro markets, and 25 industry specific websites. Our client list boasts almost all well-known publishers of such reports across the globe. We as a third-party reseller of market research reports employ a number of marketing tools, such as press releases, email-marketing and effective search-engine optimization techniques to drive revenues for our clients. We also provide 24/7 online and offline support service to our customers.

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Browse complete Report Indonesia ISV and SI Databook

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This Springboard Research Databook includes a comprehensive listing of Indonesia based ISVs and SIs with detailed profile information, statistics as well as a generic description.

ReportsandReports comprises an online library of 10,000 reports, in-depth market research studies of over 5000 micro markets, and 25 industry specific websites. Our client list boasts almost all well-known publishers of such reports across the globe. We as a third-party reseller of market research reports employ a number of marketing tools, such as press releases, email-marketing and effective search-engine optimization techniques to drive revenues for our clients. We also provide 24/7 online and offline support service to our customers.

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Browse the complete Report on - Indonesia Food and Drink Report Q4 2010

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BMI View: Indonesia’s private consumption oriented economy remains strong, and we continue to believe that solid long-term growth will occur. The economy is on track to hit our target of 5.2% real GDP growth for 2010, with GDP growth expected to accelerate slightly towards 5.3% in 2011. The positive economic outlook, along with a reasonable food consumption growth forecast – albeit from a still-low base – bodes well for the country’s food, beverage and mass grocery retail sectors and consequently, this quarter has seen a number of new expansionary investments and the announcement of positive financial results.
Headline Industry Data
Per Capita Food Consumption (IDR) is forecast to increase by 43.6% to 2014, with growth fuelled by economic expansion but constrained by persistent income inequalities
Soft Drink Sales (IDR) are forecast to increase by 79.7% to 2014, with value sales growth surpassing volume sales growth as consumers gradually trade up to higher value products
Mass Grocery Retail Sales (IDR) are forecast to increase by 63.8% to 2014 and by 9.3% in 2010 on the back of sustained multinational and local company investment
Key Company Trends
Food Market Investment - Keen to capitalise on the opportunities available within the country’s food industry, this quarter Philippines-based canned tuna manufacturer Alliance Tuna International announced plans to increase its stake in its Indonesian subsidiary from 79.92% to 89.98%. Meanwhile, Japan’s leading food seasonings manufacturer Ajinomoto also confirmed that it would be investing further in Indonesia. The firm plans to build a JPY6bn (US$67.7mn) plant in the country, which will be operational by 2012.
Retail Potential Continues To Be Recognised - Indonesia’s mass grocery retail sector is set to witness impressive sales growth of 63.8% through to 2014, with sales expected to reach IDR88,266bn by 2014. Looking to take advantage of this forecast sales growth, Indonesia’s Trans Corp, acquired a 40% stake in Carrefour Indonesia through subsidiary Para Group. The partnership offers both parties significant benefits allowing them to maximise competitiveness in such a dynamic and high-growth, but increasingly crowded market. Also seeking to exploit impressive growth forecasts, is Matahari Putra Prima announcing plans to extend its hypermarket chain by 10-15 outlets per annum through to 2014. Whilst the hypermarket format offers the lowest growth forecast of the three formats operational in Indonesia, sales are still expected to climb 61.8% to 2014 and it remains the country’s strongest sales format.



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Contact:

Ms. Sunita
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