Browse the complete Report on - Indonesia Food and Drink Report Q4 2010

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BMI View: Indonesia’s private consumption oriented economy remains strong, and we continue to believe that solid long-term growth will occur. The economy is on track to hit our target of 5.2% real GDP growth for 2010, with GDP growth expected to accelerate slightly towards 5.3% in 2011. The positive economic outlook, along with a reasonable food consumption growth forecast – albeit from a still-low base – bodes well for the country’s food, beverage and mass grocery retail sectors and consequently, this quarter has seen a number of new expansionary investments and the announcement of positive financial results.
Headline Industry Data
Per Capita Food Consumption (IDR) is forecast to increase by 43.6% to 2014, with growth fuelled by economic expansion but constrained by persistent income inequalities
Soft Drink Sales (IDR) are forecast to increase by 79.7% to 2014, with value sales growth surpassing volume sales growth as consumers gradually trade up to higher value products
Mass Grocery Retail Sales (IDR) are forecast to increase by 63.8% to 2014 and by 9.3% in 2010 on the back of sustained multinational and local company investment
Key Company Trends
Food Market Investment - Keen to capitalise on the opportunities available within the country’s food industry, this quarter Philippines-based canned tuna manufacturer Alliance Tuna International announced plans to increase its stake in its Indonesian subsidiary from 79.92% to 89.98%. Meanwhile, Japan’s leading food seasonings manufacturer Ajinomoto also confirmed that it would be investing further in Indonesia. The firm plans to build a JPY6bn (US$67.7mn) plant in the country, which will be operational by 2012.
Retail Potential Continues To Be Recognised - Indonesia’s mass grocery retail sector is set to witness impressive sales growth of 63.8% through to 2014, with sales expected to reach IDR88,266bn by 2014. Looking to take advantage of this forecast sales growth, Indonesia’s Trans Corp, acquired a 40% stake in Carrefour Indonesia through subsidiary Para Group. The partnership offers both parties significant benefits allowing them to maximise competitiveness in such a dynamic and high-growth, but increasingly crowded market. Also seeking to exploit impressive growth forecasts, is Matahari Putra Prima announcing plans to extend its hypermarket chain by 10-15 outlets per annum through to 2014. Whilst the hypermarket format offers the lowest growth forecast of the three formats operational in Indonesia, sales are still expected to climb 61.8% to 2014 and it remains the country’s strongest sales format.



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