Energy Market Landscape: Germany

http://www.reportsandreports.com/market-reports/energy-market-landscape-germany/

Introduction

Evolving competitive dynamics are rapidly and significantly changing the face of the gas and power markets in and around Europe. As such, a timely and broadly based understanding of the market landscape is vital for players throughout the energy value chain. Central to this is an understanding of the exact stage of competitive development reached in each market, and how it is likely to change.
Scope

  • Up-to-date insight on market structures, regulatory developments, supply and demand balances, asset developments and player strategies.
  • Insight into current levels of gas and power competitive intensity benchmarked against 33 relevant markets (EU 27 and 6 related countries).
  • Forecasts of how the nine metrics making up the competitive intensity scores will change by 2012.
Highlights

The MCI scores draw on nine underlying metrics grouped into three categories: Market Framework (Regulatory Effectiveness; Pricing Regime; Ease of Third Party Access), Supplier Push (Wholesale Fragmentation, Retail Fragmentation, Traded Market Maturity), and Customer Pull (Access to Market Information, Consumer Representation, Propensity to Switch)
Each of the Energy Market Landscape series provides a profile of both the relevant gas and power market. Issues examined include regulatory structures, player strategies and supply/demand dynamics. There is also a list of operational, planned and under construction infrastructure including power stations, pipelines, LNG terminals and storage sites

Reasons to Purchase
  • Obtain up-to-date, relevant and standardized information on European and related energy markets from a single source.
  • Have a logical framework to monitor market developments and emerging trends, identify opportunities and plan strategies accordingly.
  • Assess current and future gas and power market competitive environments by gaining insight into factors driving market competitiveness.
Table Of contents

DATAMONITOR VIEW 1

CATALYST 1
SUMMARY 1
ANALYSIS 2
Gas Market Overview 2
Industry Landscape 2
Retail Market Players 3
Wholesale Environment 3
Gas Supply and Demand Analysis 4
Gas Infrastructure 7
Pipelines 7
Storage 11
LNG 13
Electricity Market Overview 14
Industry Landscape 14
Retail Market Players 14
Electricity Supply and Demand Analysis 15
Electricity Infrastructure 19
Generation Capacity 19
Electricity Networks 20
Competitive Intensity Analysis Overview 23
Datamonitor's Market Competitive Intensity (MCI) Index offers a robust framework for measuring the development of competition in energy markets 23
The MCI Index shows how competitive a particular market is. This has applications for both new entrant seeking to enter the market and established players and former monopoly incumbents seeking to defend their market share from new entrants. 23
The MCI Index assesses markets as they stood in early 2010 and forecasts conditions likely to be prevailing in July 2013, five years after full market opening. 23
The MCI assessment draws on nine underlying metrics grouped into three broad clusters: Market Framework; Supplier Push; Customer Pull 24
Each of the nine pillars has an assessment scale to allow for the comparison of diverse markets (see Appendix for more details) 25
Gas Market Competitive Intensity 26
The impact of the new regulator and a lack of concentration in the retail market are driving Germany's gas metrics 26
A strong increase in Germany's gas metrics is expected over the forecast period 27
Weaknesses in Germany's Market Framework metrics will be resolved by 2010 27
Effectiveness of Regulator [2010: 8/10; 2013: 9.5/10] 27
Ease of Third Party Access [2010: 6/10; 2013: 7.5/10] 28
Pricing Regime [2010: 6/10; 2013: 6.5/10] 28
The large number of municipal energy retailers drives the Supplier Push metrics 28
Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2010: 3.5/10 2013: 5/10] 28
Retail Market Fragmentation [2010: 8.5/10; 2013: 9/10] 28
Traded Market Maturity [2010: 4.5/10; 2013: 7.5/10] 28
Germany will see an improvement in its Customer Pull metrics by 2013 29
Access to Market Information [2009: 3.5/10; 2013: 5/10] 29
Consumer Representation [2010: 8.5/10; 2013: 10/10] 29
Propensity to Switch [2010: 1/10; 2013: 2.5/10] 29
Electricity Market Competitive Intensity 30
Germany's power scores are relatively strong compared to all metrics other than Propensity to Switch 30
Most of Germany's power scores mostly fall in the upper half of the scale 31
The creation of a regulatory body has revived Germany's Market Framework scores 31
Effectiveness of Regulator [2010: 8/10; 2013: 9.5/10] 31
Ease of Third Party Access [2010: 7.5/10; 2013: 8/10] 32
Pricing Regime [2010: 6.5/10; 2013: 8/10] 32
Improvement can be seen in the Supplier Push metrics over the forecast period 32
Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2010: 5/10; 2013: 6/10] 32
Retail Market Fragmentation [2010: 7.5/10; 2013: 8.5/10] 32
Traded Market Maturity [2010: 8/10; 2013: 10/10] 32
Customer Pull metrics are likely to remain low for the foreseeable future 32
Access to Market Information [2010: 7.5/10; 2013: 8.5/10] 32
Consumer Representation [2010: 8.5/10; 2013: 10/10] 33
Propensity to Switch [2010: 1.5/10; 2013: 2.5/10] 33
The established nature of the market means exploiting commercial opportunities will remain challenging 33

COMPETITIVE INTENSITY ANALYSIS APPENDIX 34


MCI Scores Summary 34
MCI Scoring Scales 37
APPENDIX 42
List of power stations in Germany 42
Definitions 61
Ask the analyst 62
Datamonitor consulting 62
Disclaimer 62
List of Tables
Table 1: Germany major gas retail market players, 2008 3
Table 2: Germany gas supply and demand balance, 2008─09e 4
Table 3: Germany gas transmission pipelines 9
Table 4: Germany gas storage sites 11
Table 5: Gas access to europe 13
Table 6: Germany major power retail players, 2008 14
Table 7: Germany power supply and demand balance, 2008─09e 15
Table 8: German system capacity 22
Table 9: Market Competitive Intensity, Germany 2010 and 2013 34
Table 10: MCI Additive, Europe 2010 and 2013 35
Table 11: MCI Multiplicative, Europe 2010 and 2013 36
Table 12: Germany power generation assets 42
List of Figures
Figure 1: Germany indigenous gas production, 1990─2009e 5
Figure 2: Germany gas sectoral consumption, 2009e 6
Figure 3: Germany gas consumption, trends and forecasts, 1990─2020f 7
Figure 4: Germany power production by fuel type, 1990─2009e 16
Figure 5: Germany power production by fuel type, 2009e 17
Figure 6: Germany power sectoral consumption, 2009e 18
Figure 7: Germany power consumption, trends and forecasts, 1990─2020f 19
Figure 8: Germany power generation capacity by fuel type, 2008 20
Figure 9: MCI Assessment Scale 23
Figure 10: MCI Assessment Framework 24
Figure 11: MCI Scales 25
Figure 12: European Power Market Competitive Intensity, 2010-13 26
Figure 13: Gas Market Competitive Intensity, Germany 27
Figure 14: European Power Market Competitive Intensity, 2010-13 30
Figure 15: Power Market Competitive Intensity, Germany 31
Figure 16: Market Competitive Intensity, Germany 33
Figure 17: Scale for MCI Assessment, Effectiveness of Regulator 37
Figure 18: Scale for MCI Assessment, Ease of Third Party Access 38
Figure 19: Scale for MCI Assessment, Pricing Regime 38
Figure 20: Scale for MCI Assessment, Wholesale Market Fragmentation 39
Figure 21: Scale for MCI Assessment, Retail Market Fragmentation 39
Figure 22: Scale for MCI Assessment, Traded Market Maturity 40
Figure 23: Scale for MCI Assessment, Access to Market Information 40
Figure 24: Scale for MCI Assessment, Consumer Representation 41
Figure 25: Scale for MCI Assessment, Propensity to Switch 41

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