Showing posts with label Croatia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Croatia. Show all posts

Browse the complete Report on:  Croatia Tourism Report Q4 2010
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Tourism Overview
Foreign tourism to Croatia has been poor in recent years, with growth in arrivals of 1% and -1% year-onyear (y-o-y) in 2008 and 2009 respectively. Data for January-April 2010 show that the number of foreign tourist arrivals was down by 2% y-o-y, with domestic tourist numbers falling by nearly 12% y-o-y. Of the Croatia’s key European source markets, only Slovenia provided positive y-o-y growth in arrivals over the four-month period. Combined foreign and domestic tourist arrivals fell by about 6% compared with the corresponding period in 2009. What is particularly noticeable this year are the sharp movements in the monthly data for foreign tourism, with arrivals down by 24% y-o-y in January but rising by 23% y-o-y in March.
Hospitality
The hospitality sector recorded a weak performance in 2008 and 2009 in terms of the total number of tourist nights. In the first four months of 2010, tourist nights fell by 4.5% y-o-y, with the number of foreign and domestic nights falling by 1.3% and 10.7% respectively. Domestic tourist nights also fell relatively sharply last year. In regards to the key source markets, although Slovenia showed buoyant growth of over 20% y-o-y in tourist nights over January-April, nights attributed to German and Austrian tourists were down by approximately 3% and 10% y-o-y respectively.
Industry Forecast Scenario
Our forecast for growth in foreign tourist arrivals in 2010 has been edged down marginally this quarter to 2% y-o-y, although growth in arrivals though is anticipated to pick up slightly in 2011. These forecasts are based on a mild economic recovery in major foreign source markets, with the eurozone emerging from recession in 2010 and growth improving to 1.6% in 2011. During the summer tourism season, we also expect appreciatory pressures on the Croatian kuna to pick up. That said, short-term appreciation will be modest. Our forecast exchange rate for the kuna against the euro for end of 2011 also shows slight appreciation compared with 2010. This is likely to act as a constraint on growth in foreign arrivals from the eurozone.
Air Passenger Traffic
Following a 12% y-o-y fall in international passenger air traffic on Croatian carriers in 2009, traffic remained weak in Q110, with numbers down by 11% y-o-y. During the first five months of 2010 at Zagreb Airport – the main international airport in Croatia – passenger traffic was poor, falling by 7% y-oy, after declining by 6% in 2009, although the downturn has eased since the beginning of this year.
Croatia Airlines
Weaker tourism took its toll on the national flag carrier Croatia Airlines in 2009, with the airline recording a 6% annual fall in traffic to 1.75mn passengers. This followed relatively strong growth in the previous two years of 9% y-o-y each. The airline launched a direct, three times a week service between Zagreb and the Greek capital Athens in June 2010.
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Original Source : – Croatia Tourism Report Q4 2010
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Browse the complete Report onCroatia Food and Drink Report Q4 2010
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BMI Industry View
Our expectations for Croatia’s short-term outlook for its food and drinks market is relatively guarded, given the challenging economic environment, including the high unemployment rate and weakened consumer confidence. While some recovery of annual growth levels are expected in the medium-to-longer term, they will fall short of those recorded pre-recession, with the Croatian consumer increasingly becoming fond of private label items. From the mass grocery retail (MGR) perspective, the Croatian market will fail to attract major foreign direct investment (FDI) programmes, which will further serve to hamper the development of the country’s food and beverages consumption values.
Headline Industry Data
2010 per capita food consumption = +0.6%; forecast to 2014 = +8.4%
2010 alcoholic drinks sales = +1.4%; forecast to 2014 = +12.3%
2010 soft drinks sales = +0.5%; forecast to 2014 = +7.3%
2010 mass grocery retail = +3.2%; forecast to 2014 = +23.7%
Key Company Trends
Consolidation in Food and Drink – The key company event in the past month was the acquisition agreement struck between Croatian functional food and drink producer and distributor, Atlantic Grupa and Slovenian food company Droga Kolinska. The former, which is poised to acquire the latter for EUR382mn (subject to regulatory approval), would create one of the region's largest food and drink firms by annual sales. Although tactical product synergies with Atlantic's core functional food and drink
products are probably lacking, acquiring Droga would open up routes to the hot drinks and snack food industries in particular. Atlantic is also poised to pursue promising organic growth projects in 2010, with the Czech Republic and Slovakia likely to be targeted.
Key Risks to Outlook
Croatia’s Flagging Investment Potential – Having been placed 24th in 2009, according to A.T.Kearney’s recently published Global Retail Development Index (GRDI) for 2010, Croatia has been pushed out of the top 30 most attractive retail investment destinations for global chains. Additionally, private labels were reported by market research agency GfK to account for a growing share of the total market (or for 19.4% of the food market). If this trend persists – despite the benefits provided by the eventual EU membership – our forecasts will be adjusted accordingly, as the above factors will have a negative impact on the value of consumer spending.
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Original Source : – Croatia Food and Drink Market

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Browse the complete Report on: Croatia Commercial Banking Report Q4 2010
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Since Q108, we have described numerically the banking business environment for each of the countries surveyed by BMI. We do this through our Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating (CBBER), a measure that ensures we capture the latest quantitative information available. It also ensures consistency across all countries and between the inputs to the CBBER and the Insurance Business Environment Rating, which is likewise now a feature of our insurance reports. Like the Business Environment Ratings calculated by BMI for all the other industries on which it reports, the CBBER takes into account the limits of potential returns and the risks to the realisation of those returns. It is weighted 70% to the former and 30% to the latter.

The evaluation of the Limits of Potential Returns includes market elements that are specific to the banking industry of the country in question and elements that relate to that country in general. Within the 70% of the CBBER that takes into account the Limits of Potential Returns, the market elements have a 60% weighting and the country elements have a 40% weighting. The evaluation of the Risks to Realisation of Returns also includes banking elements and country elements (specifically, BMI’s assessment of long-term country risk). However, within the 30% of the CBBER that takes into account the risks, these elements are weighted 40% and 60%, respectively.

Further details on how we calculate the CBBER are provided at the end of this report. In general, though, three aspects need to be borne in mind in interpreting the CBBERs. The first is that the market elements of the Limits of Potential Returns are by far the most heavily weighted of the four elements. They account for 60% of 70% (or 42%) of the overall CBBER. Second, if the market elements are significantly higher than the country elements of the Limits of Potential Returns, it usually implies that the banking sector is (very) large and/or developed relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Conversely, if the market elements are significantly lower than the country elements, it usually means that the banking sector is small and/or underdeveloped relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Third, within the Risks to Realisation of Returns category, the market elements (ie: how regulations affect the development of the sector, how regulations affect competition within it, and Moody’s Investors Service’s ratings for local currency deposits) can be markedly different from BMI’s long-term risk rating.

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Original SourceCommercial Banking   Market
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Browse the complete Report on : Croatia Real Estate Report Q4 2010

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]The year 2010 appears to represent something of a nadir in the fortunes of the Croatian Real Estate sector after a difficult year in 2009. In our latest round of interviews with in-country sources, which were conducted in mid-2010, we were told that rents had basically stopped falling and are expected to track sideways through 2011. Further, and in spite of the high vacancy rates in the Zagreb office market, there does not appear to have been a sharp downwards move in capital values.
It appears that commercial property rents fell by 10-15% in each of the three main sub-sectors in Zagreb, and by rather more in Split, during 2009. Rents dropped by around 10% in Zadar, a small city where demand and supply of space have generally been well matched.
Crucially, it is difficult to envisage that there will be a sharp recovery in Croatia’s Real Estate sector. Although the contraction in economic activity, through 2009, has been less than in other countries in Central and Eastern Europe, consumer spending is likely to remain weak for some time – mainly because of persistent unemployment and under-employment. The government has been cutting expenditure. Investment is also likely to remain subdued. Prior to 2008, capital inflows had been running at around 5% of GDP annually. BMI is not expecting inwards investment to return to this level until Croatia joins the European Union, which we expect to happen in 2013.
Given that rents and yields appear already to have stopped falling, we are not looking for meaningful changes in either over the next year or so. To the extent that rents do move from late 2011 onwards, we expect that capital values will change similarly. Rental yields in Split and Zagreb should move sideways through the 2011-2014 forecast period. For the time being, we envisage that the same will be true in Zadar, notwithstanding the fact that yields are significantly lower than they are in the other two cities. The implication of all this is that Croatia is a country where there is unlikely to be substantial supply of new office, retail or industrial space over the coming years. Some of our in-country sources indicated at the beginning of 2010 that projects have already been shelved for lack of interest on the part of investors.
Key Features Of This Report
This is the latest edition of a new series of industry reports published by BMI that seeks to identify the key dynamics of the real estate sectors of 44 countries around the world, some of which are developed and some of which are, in every sense, emerging markets. The questions that we seek to answer for each country remain as follows: What are the main issues for actors in and around real estate development in the country concerned, over both the long and the short term? What are the main constraints that they face? What are the key insights to be gleaned by comparing the real estate sector of a country with its regional peers?
In Q3 we introduced a very substantial improvement to our reports. We incorporated data and qualitative observations provided to us by commercial real estate agents operating in the countries we survey. As a result we have gained a much clearer picture of the balance between demand and supply in each of three main sub-sectors – office, retail and industrial. We have also introduced a new approach to the forecasting of rental yields, which is discussed in the methodology section of this report.
In Q4, we have incorporated a lot of new data in relation to rents and yields in 2010. We gained this data through a new round of interviews with our in-country sources in mid-2010. In some cases, the latest information from our sources has caused us to make significant revisions to our forecasts for 2011-2014. We asked our sources to indicate what growth in rents is likely for 2011. We explain their answers in the Forecast Scenarios.


About Us

ReportsandReports comprises an online library of 10,000 reports, in-depth market research studies of over 5000 micro markets, and 25 industry specific websites. Our client list boasts almost all well-known publishers of such reports across the globe. We as a third-party reseller of market research reports employ a number of marketing tools, such as press releases, email-marketing and effective search-engine optimization techniques to drive revenues for our clients. We also provide 24/7 online and offline support service to our customers.


Contact:

Ms. Sunita
7557 Rambler road,
Suite 727, Dallas, TX 75231
Tel: +1-888-989-8004
http://reportsandreports.blogspot.com/
http://reportsandreports.proarticles.co.uk/
http://reportsnreports.wordpress.com/

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Browse the complete Report on: Croatia Real Estate Report Q4 2010



The year 2010 appears to represent something of a nadir in the fortunes of the Croatian Real Estate sector after a difficult year in 2009. In our latest round of interviews with in-country sources, which were conducted in mid-2010, we were told that rents had basically stopped falling and are expected to track sideways through 2011. Further, and in spite of the high vacancy rates in the Zagreb office market, there does not appear to have been a sharp downwards move in capital values.
It appears that commercial property rents fell by 10-15% in each of the three main sub-sectors in Zagreb, and by rather more in Split, during 2009. Rents dropped by around 10% in Zadar, a small city where demand and supply of space have generally been well matched.
Crucially, it is difficult to envisage that there will be a sharp recovery in Croatia’s Real Estate sector. Although the contraction in economic activity, through 2009, has been less than in other countries in Central and Eastern Europe, consumer spending is likely to remain weak for some time – mainly because of persistent unemployment and under-employment. The government has been cutting expenditure. Investment is also likely to remain subdued. Prior to 2008, capital inflows had been running at around 5% of GDP annually. BMI is not expecting inwards investment to return to this level until Croatia joins the European Union, which we expect to happen in 2013.
Given that rents and yields appear already to have stopped falling, we are not looking for meaningful changes in either over the next year or so. To the extent that rents do move from late 2011 onwards, we expect that capital values will change similarly. Rental yields in Split and Zagreb should move sideways through the 2011-2014 forecast period. For the time being, we envisage that the same will be true in Zadar, notwithstanding the fact that yields are significantly lower than they are in the other two cities. The implication of all this is that Croatia is a country where there is unlikely to be substantial supply of new office, retail or industrial space over the coming years. Some of our in-country sources indicated at the beginning of 2010 that projects have already been shelved for lack of interest on the part of investors.
Key Features Of This Report
This is the latest edition of a new series of industry reports published by BMI that seeks to identify the key dynamics of the real estate sectors of 44 countries around the world, some of which are developed and some of which are, in every sense, emerging markets. The questions that we seek to answer for each country remain as follows: What are the main issues for actors in and around real estate development in the country concerned, over both the long and the short term? What are the main constraints that they face? What are the key insights to be gleaned by comparing the real estate sector of a country with its regional peers?
In Q3 we introduced a very substantial improvement to our reports. We incorporated data and qualitative observations provided to us by commercial real estate agents operating in the countries we survey. As a result we have gained a much clearer picture of the balance between demand and supply in each of three main sub-sectors – office, retail and industrial. We have also introduced a new approach to the forecasting of rental yields, which is discussed in the methodology section of this report.
In Q4, we have incorporated a lot of new data in relation to rents and yields in 2010. We gained this data through a new round of interviews with our in-country sources in mid-2010. In some cases, the latest information from our sources has caused us to make significant revisions to our forecasts for 2011-2014. We asked our sources to indicate what growth in rents is likely for 2011. We explain their answers in the Forecast Scenarios.


About Us
ReportsandReports comprises an online library of 10,000 reports, in-depth market research studies of over 5000 micro markets, and 25 industry specific websites. Our client list boasts almost all well-known publishers of such reports across the globe. We as a third-party reseller of market research reports employ a number of marketing tools, such as press releases, email-marketing and effective search-engine optimization techniques to drive revenues for our clients. We also provide 24/7 online and offline support service to our customers.

Contact:
Ms. Sunita
7557 Rambler road,
Suite 727, Dallas, TX 75231
Tel: +1-888-989-8004

Read More

Browse the complete Report on: Croatia Real Estate Report Q4 2010



The year 2010 appears to represent something of a nadir in the fortunes of the Croatian Real Estate sector after a difficult year in 2009. In our latest round of interviews with in-country sources, which were conducted in mid-2010, we were told that rents had basically stopped falling and are expected to track sideways through 2011. Further, and in spite of the high vacancy rates in the Zagreb office market, there does not appear to have been a sharp downwards move in capital values.
It appears that commercial property rents fell by 10-15% in each of the three main sub-sectors in Zagreb, and by rather more in Split, during 2009. Rents dropped by around 10% in Zadar, a small city where demand and supply of space have generally been well matched.
Crucially, it is difficult to envisage that there will be a sharp recovery in Croatia’s Real Estate sector. Although the contraction in economic activity, through 2009, has been less than in other countries in Central and Eastern Europe, consumer spending is likely to remain weak for some time – mainly because of persistent unemployment and under-employment. The government has been cutting expenditure. Investment is also likely to remain subdued. Prior to 2008, capital inflows had been running at around 5% of GDP annually. BMI is not expecting inwards investment to return to this level until Croatia joins the European Union, which we expect to happen in 2013.
Given that rents and yields appear already to have stopped falling, we are not looking for meaningful changes in either over the next year or so. To the extent that rents do move from late 2011 onwards, we expect that capital values will change similarly. Rental yields in Split and Zagreb should move sideways through the 2011-2014 forecast period. For the time being, we envisage that the same will be true in Zadar, notwithstanding the fact that yields are significantly lower than they are in the other two cities. The implication of all this is that Croatia is a country where there is unlikely to be substantial supply of new office, retail or industrial space over the coming years. Some of our in-country sources indicated at the beginning of 2010 that projects have already been shelved for lack of interest on the part of investors.
Key Features Of This Report
This is the latest edition of a new series of industry reports published by BMI that seeks to identify the key dynamics of the real estate sectors of 44 countries around the world, some of which are developed and some of which are, in every sense, emerging markets. The questions that we seek to answer for each country remain as follows: What are the main issues for actors in and around real estate development in the country concerned, over both the long and the short term? What are the main constraints that they face? What are the key insights to be gleaned by comparing the real estate sector of a country with its regional peers?
In Q3 we introduced a very substantial improvement to our reports. We incorporated data and qualitative observations provided to us by commercial real estate agents operating in the countries we survey. As a result we have gained a much clearer picture of the balance between demand and supply in each of three main sub-sectors – office, retail and industrial. We have also introduced a new approach to the forecasting of rental yields, which is discussed in the methodology section of this report.
In Q4, we have incorporated a lot of new data in relation to rents and yields in 2010. We gained this data through a new round of interviews with our in-country sources in mid-2010. In some cases, the latest information from our sources has caused us to make significant revisions to our forecasts for 2011-2014. We asked our sources to indicate what growth in rents is likely for 2011. We explain their answers in the Forecast Scenarios.


About Us
ReportsandReports comprises an online library of 10,000 reports, in-depth market research studies of over 5000 micro markets, and 25 industry specific websites. Our client list boasts almost all well-known publishers of such reports across the globe. We as a third-party reseller of market research reports employ a number of marketing tools, such as press releases, email-marketing and effective search-engine optimization techniques to drive revenues for our clients. We also provide 24/7 online and offline support service to our customers.

Contact:
Ms. Sunita
7557 Rambler road,
Suite 727, Dallas, TX 75231
Tel: +1-888-989-8004

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Browse the complete Report on: Croatia Insurance Report Q4 2010

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Writing in July 2010, we have been able to ensure that the report includes actual data for 2009. According to HANFA, the insurance sector regulator in Croatia, total premiums in 2009 amounted to HRK9.41bn. This included non-life premiums of HRK6.92bn and HKR2.49bn. We estimate that, in 2014, the corresponding figures will be HRK20.16bn, HRK13.77bn and HRK6.39bn. In terms of the key drivers that underpin our forecasts, we are looking for non-life penetration to rise from 1.99% in 2009 to 3.00% in 2014 and for life density to rise from US$107, to US$250.
BMI’s Insurance Business Environment Rating (IBER) for Croatia is 54.2 out of 100.
We include a discussion of developments within regional markets, on the basis of results published by major cross-border companies and the latest information provided by regulators and/or trade associations. In Croatia, fire and diversified risks, liability insurance and other lines have been growing in line with regional expansion and life insurance, a segment with mixed results region-wide, has risen slightly in Croatia.
Croatia’s Insurance Sector In 2009 And 2010
In its report for the first nine months of 2009, CROATIA Insurance, the former state-owned monopoly that is by far the largest domestic insurance company, described the insurance industry as ‘stagnant’. The main problem was downward pressure on premiums. While 2009 may have been disappointing for CROATIA, the overall industry performed respectably in relation to its peers in Central and Eastern Europe.
Figures published by the industry regulator, the Croatian Financial Services Supervisory Agency (HANFA), show that total non-life premiums in Croatia in the first nine months of 2009 came to HRK5.48bn, a decline of 1.6% year-on-year (y-o-y). Life premiums were HRK1.81bn, down 3.4% y-o-y. Unlike in countries nearby, such as Greece and Bulgaria, non-life premiums were not given a significant boost by growth in compulsory motor third party liability (CMTPL) business. CMTPL premiums were virtually unchanged, at HRK2.23bn. CASCO premiums were HRK777mn, down 13% y-o-y, although this was offset by higher premiums in many other lines. Despite the recession, fire insurance premiums increased by about 8% y-o-y, to HRK499mn. Premiums across all kinds of life insurance were unchanged.
CROATIA reported that its non-life premiums fell 5.3% y-o-y to HRK2,493mn in the first nine months of 2009, while life premiums dropped 1.8% y-o-y to HRK254mn. The company lost market share in the non-life segment, but gained ground marginally in the life segment. Gross profits were up 36.2% y-o-y, at HRK96.6mn.
Euroherc, Croatia’s second largest insurer, reported that its total revenues rose 3.2% y-o-y to HRK825.7mn. Its net profits rose 8.6% to HRK49.4mn. Vienna Insurance Group, whose companies in Croatia account for 18% of life premiums, said that it achieved double-digit growth in the segment in the first nine months of 2009.

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ReportsandReports comprises an online library of 10,000 reports, in-depth market research studies of over 5000 micro markets, and 25 industry specific websites. Our client list boasts almost all well-known publishers of such reports across the globe. We as a third-party reseller of market research reports employ a number of marketing tools, such as press releases, email-marketing and effective search-engine optimization techniques to drive revenues for our clients. We also provide 24/7 online and offline support service to our customers.

Contact:

Ms. Sunita
7557 Rambler road,
Suite 727, Dallas, TX 75231
Tel: +1-888-989-8004
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Browse the complete Report on : Croatia Telecommunications Report Q4 2010

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BMI’s Q410 update to Croatia’s Telecommunications Report contains an analysis of new market data published by the telecoms regulator and service providers. This has provided new support for our expectations for the mobile and internet sectors and led to a revision of our forecast for the fixed-line sector. It also contains an update on the performance of mobile broadband, which was introduced into our overall broadband analysis and forecasts in Q3. We have also analysed the effects of the 6% additional tax on mobile services introduced by the government to aid the country’s budget.
In the mobile sector, T-Mobile, owned by Deutsche Telekom, continues to face intense competition from Telekom Austria-owned Vipnet, which further eroded its market share in H110. At the end of Q210, T-Mobile’s market share was 45.9%, down from 46.2% the previous quarter and less than three percentage points ahead of Vipnet’s. The market leader reported a subscriber net loss for the third consecutive quarter in Q210, shedding 19,000. Its total net loss for the first half of the year now stands at 80,000. By the end of Q210, there were a total of 6.06mn subscribers, according to BMI estimates, which represented a small increase of 4,000 in the quarter.
Despite this, Croatia’s economy is expected to see a mild recovery in 2010. BMI’s Country Risk team predicts growth of 0.5% in the year, compared to the 5.7% decline experienced in 2009, which should boost the telecoms industry’s confidence. However, we remain concerned about the lingering weakness in the labour market, which will prevent any marked improvement in consumer spending. The sector is also expected to undergo a further hurdle with the implementation of prepaid SIM registration. While this is expected to heavily impact operators given their dependence on the prepaid market, we suspect that much of the mobile sector is already occupied by multiple or inactive SIMs, and therefore registration would allow for a clearer understanding of the market.
We included mobile broadband figures in our broadband forecast section for the first time in Q310. However, subscription figures released by the regulator at the end of 2009 were below expectations, indicating a slower than anticipated uptake of the service. It is, however, it is not unlikely that the recession in 2009 contributed to the slow growth of more advanced services in the market. Meanwhile, the need by the government to raise funds for the budget may also be part of the reason why local reports state that it is looking to offload its 3.5% stake in T-HT. While it has not revealed how it would do this, the most likely option appears to be a sale on the Zagreb Stock Exchange (ZSE).

About Us

ReportsandReports comprises an online library of 10,000 reports, in-depth market research studies of over 5000 micro markets, and 25 industry specific websites. Our client list boasts almost all well-known publishers of such reports across the globe. We as a third-party reseller of market research reports employ a number of marketing tools, such as press releases, email-marketing and effective search-engine optimization techniques to drive revenues for our clients. We also provide 24/7 online and offline support service to our customers.


Contact:

Ms. Sunita
7557 Rambler road,
Suite 727, Dallas, TX 75231
Tel: +1-888-989-8004
http://reportsandreports.blogspot.com/

http://reportsandreports.proarticles.co.uk/

http://reportsnreports.wordpress.com/

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