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ReportsandReports – Germany Oil and Gas Report Q3 2010

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The latest Germany Oil & Gas Report from BMI forecasts that the country will account for 17.61% of developed European regional oil demand by 2014, while making a contribution of just 1.08% to supply. In Developed Europe, overall oil consumption was an estimated 13.28mn barrels per day (b/d) in 2009. It is set to recover to around 13.44mn b/d by 2014. Developed Europe regional oil production was 6.96mn b/d in 2001, and in 2009 averaged an estimated 4.73mn b/d. It is set to fall to just 3.71mn b/d by 2014. Oil imports are growing steadily because supply is contracting and demand is rising, albeit slowly. In 2009, net crude imports were an estimated 9.18mn b/d. By 2014, they are expected to have reached 9.73mn b/d. Norway will remain the only major net exporter, with the UK a net importer.
As regards natural gas, the Developed Europe region in 2009 consumed an estimated 426bn cubic metres (bcm), with demand of 473bcm targeted for 2014, representing 9.6% growth. Production of an estimated 265bcm in 2009 is set to fall to 263bcm in 2014, which implies net imports rising from the estimated 2009 level of 161bcm to some 210bcm by the end of the period. Germany’s share of gas consumption in 2009 was an estimated 19.00%, while it accounted for 4.99% of production. By 2014, its share of gas consumption is forecast to be 19.67%, with a 4.37% share of production.
We are sticking with our forecast that the OPEC basket of crudes will average US$83.00/bbl in 2010. Wide variations in crude differentials so far in 2010 make forecasting tricky for Brent, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Urals, but we believe the three benchmarks will average around US$85.11, US$88.22 and US$83.62/bbl respectively, with Dubai coming in at US$83.14. By 2011, there should be further growth in oil consumption and more room for OPEC to regain market share and reduce surplus capacity through higher production quotas. We are assuming a further increase in the OPEC basket price to an average US$85.00/bbl. For 2012 and beyond, we continue to use a central case forecast of US$90.00/bbl for the OPEC basket.
For 2010, the BMI assumption for premium unleaded gasoline is an average global price of US$96.83/bbl. The year-on-year (y-o-y) rise in 2010 gasoline prices is put at 38%. Gasoil in 2010 is expected to average US$92.45/bbl, with the full-year outturn representing a 37% increase from the 2009 level. For jet fuel in 2010, the annual level is forecast to be US$95.58/bbl. This compares with US$70.66/bbl in 2009. The 2010 average naphtha price is put by BMI at US$82.46/bbl, up 39% from the previous year’s level.
German real GDP is assumed by BMI to have fallen by 5.0% in 2009, followed by forecast growth of 2.0% in 2010. We are assuming 1.7% average annual growth in 2010-2014. Our forecast is for minimal oil demand growth to 2014, with end-period consumption at no more than 2.37mn b/d after declining demand in 2009/10. Gas consumption is now 24% of primary energy demand, accounting for 11% of power generation supply. Our estimate is for gas demand to rise from an estimated 81.5bcm in 2010 to 93.0bcm by 2014. Germany’s gas production is forecast to fall from an estimated 13.0bcm in 2010 to 11.5bcm over the period.
Between 2010 and 2019, we are forecasting a decline in German oil and gas liquids consumption of 5.65%, with volumes peaking at 2.40mn b/d in 2012, then heading lower to 2.25mn b/d by the end of the 10-year forecast period. Production is set to fall from an estimated 52,000b/d to just 25,000b/d during the same period. Gas demand should rise from the estimated 2010 level of 81.5bcm to a peak of 93bcm by 2013/2014, before slipping back to 89bcm by 2019. Imports are expected to peak at 81.5bcm in 2014, in the form of pipeline volumes. Details of BMI’s 10-year forecasts can be found in the appendix to this report.
According to BMI’s country risk team, Germany’s long-term political risk score is 85.8, compared with the Developed Markets average of 86.7 and the global average of 63.7. Our long-term economic rating for the country is 65.0, below the Developed Markets average of 67.0 and above the global average of 53.7. Germany has a privatised energy sector operating under EU guidelines. There is a small upstream oil and gas segment, with international oil company (IOC) and local company involvement. Downstream oil features a mixture of IOCs and domestic companies, while gas and electricity interests remain in largely German (non-state) hands.

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Original Source : – Oil and Gas Market
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ReportsandReports – Germany Metals Report Q3 2010

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German metals producers will be dependent on external demand for growth in 2010, making them vulnerable to the volatility of Asian markets.
The German steel industry witnessed a surge in output in the first five months of 2010, with the upward trend steady throughout the period. In May, crude steel output totalled 4.07mn tonnes, a rise of 87.7% year-on-year (y-o-y) and 5% month-on-month (m-o-m), according to the German steel federation Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl (WV Stahl). In the January-May period, output reached 18.89mn tonnes, rising 66.9% y-o-y. According to WV Stahl, after the sharp declines in 2009, production has reached approximately the level of mid-2008. Hot-rolled output grew 79.5% y-o-y to 3.19mn tonnes in April, including 2.03mn tonnes of flat products (up 91.4% y-o-y) and 1.16mn tonnes of long products (up 61.9% y-o-y). Growth was welcomed by the industry following 2009, a year which marked the German economy’s worst post-World War II real GDP growth outturn and led to a 28.7% y-o-y fall in crude steelmaking and a 25.7% decline in hot-rolled output.
Domestic metals end markets are showing significant improvements. Notably, the German construction industry has shown excellent recovery from its precipitous decline at the start of 2009. A decrease of 4.5% in y-o-y growth over 2009 represents an anomaly in otherwise sustained growth, rather than a trend towards collapse. Growth is expected in the sector up until the end of the forecast period in 2014. Meanwhile, the 2009 vehicle scrappage scheme in Germany had benefited both domestic and foreign carmakers, with their respective sales increasing 16% and 40% y-o-y. Despite the growth seen so far this year due to exports to emerging markets, BMI believes that weak consumer demand in the EU will be the main deterrent to the recovery of Germany's auto exports (and hence production) in 2010 and for the rest of the forecast period. Moreover, given that the delivery of vehicles under the scrappage schemes in Western European markets ended in H110, we are concerned that this export growth may not be sustained, thereby putting pressure on domestic demand for flat steel and aluminium products. The market situation will also be affected by rising raw material costs and increasing risks in the difficult and uncertain financial markets. While growth rates have surged back into positive territory, the absolute level of output remains well below peak level, reflecting the weakness of the demand recovery in the US and key trading partners in Western Europe. Growth in the German metals industries will be weighed down by low overall industry capacity utilisation, poor demographic trends, fiscal austerity and weak wage growth. As a result, we expect long-term German growth to lag, restraining the rate of output growth both in the short and long term. Although we have revised up our 2010 crude steel growth forecast from 15.7% to 23.5% due to the strength of output growth in H110 and in the context of 2.0% GDP growth, the sector will be driven almost entirely by external consumption, inventory re-stocking and statistical base effects. Aside from the current market downturn, the main risk factor facing German aluminium smelters and to a lesser extent the steel industry – principally in electric arc furnaces, which comprise around a third of German steelmaking capacity – is the high price of electricity, which makes up more than 40% of the cost of primary aluminium production.
In 2010, exports of semi and finished steel products should grow 30.5% to 26.3mn tonnes, while aluminium exports should rise 29.3% to 1.54mn tonnes, although this rate will not be repeated over the following four years and will slow markedly in 2011 as the market adjusts to increased capacity and the effects of an expected double-dip slowdown from late 2010.
In the aluminium sector, BMI sees primary aluminium output growing 23.4% in 2010 to over 502,600 tonnes, with long-term prospects set to be bolstered by the growing number of applications for aluminium as a lightweight substitute for steel. On the downside, high electricity and environmental costs are undermining the long-term viability of German smelters, with Norsk Hydro reportedly considering the closure of the country’s largest primary aluminium producer. Consequently, 2014 primary aluminium output will reach around 570,000 tonnes, which is 6% below 2008 levels, while exports should reach 1.73mn tonnes. However, apparent aluminium consumption will surge to 3.5mn tonnes from an estimated 2.41mn tonnes in 2009, with most of the increase supplied by imports which will rise to 3.5mn tonnes in addition to domestic recycling.
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ReportsandReports – Germany Power Report 2010

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The new Germany Power Report from BMI forecasts that the country will account for 8.59% of power generation in developed markets by 2013, while retaining an electricity export capability. BMI’s developed markets power generation estimate for 2009 is 7,152 terawatt hours (TWh), representing a decrease of 4.8% over the previous year. We are forecasting a rise in regional generation to 7,745TWh between 2010 and 2014, an increase of 6.0%.
BMI estimate thermal power generation in 2009 was 4,199TWh, accounting for 58.7% of the total electricity supplied in the region. Our forecast for 2014 is 4,439TWh, implying 5.7% growth that leaves the market share of thermal generation only slightly lower at 57.3% – in spite of environmental concerns that should be promoting renewables, hydro-electricity and nuclear generation. Germany’s thermal generation in 2009 was 346TWh, or 8.25% of the regional total. By 2014, the country is expected to account for 8.19% of thermal generation.
Oil is the dominant fuel in Germany, accounting for 39.3% of primary energy demand (PED), followed by coal at 24.5%, gas at 24.2%, nuclear energy at 10.5% and hydro-power with a 1.4% share of PED. Developed markets energy demand is forecast to reach 3,998mn tonnes of oil equivalent (toe) by 2014, representing 6.5% growth in 2010-2014. Germany’s 2009 market share of 7.89% is set to rise slightly to 8.20% by 2014. Germany’s 135TWh of 2009 nuclear demand is forecast to decline to 130TWh by 2014, with its share of the nuclear market in developed markets falling from 8.16% to 7.55% over the period. BMI is now forecasting German real GDP growth averaging 1.72% per annum between 2010 and 2014, although the 2010 forecast is an increase of 2.00%. Population is expected to contract from 82.1mn to 81.8mn over the period, and GDP per capita and electricity consumption per capita are forecast to rise by 2% and 5% respectively. The country’s power consumption is expected to decrease from an estimated 528TWh in 2009 to 557TWh by the end of the forecast period, providing a theoretical surplus rising from an estimated 69TWh in 2009 to 108TWh in 2014, assuming 2.2% average annual growth in generation in 2010-2014.
Between 2010 and 2019, we are forecasting an increase in German electricity generation of 5.6%, which is bottom of the range for the developed markets. This equates to a decline of 0.8% in 2014-2019, compared with growth of 6.4% in 2010-2014. PED growth is set to fall from 10.4% in 2010-2014 to a contraction of 0.9% during 2014-2019, representing 9.4% for the entire forecast period. An increase of 95% in hydro-power use during 2010-2019 is one key element of generation growth. Thermal power generation is forecast to fall by 12% between 2010 and 2019, with nuclear demand falling by 19%. More details of the longer-term BMI power forecasts can be found later in this report.

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Original Source : – Germany Power Market
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ReportsandReports – Germany Commercial Banking Report Q4 2010

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Since Q108, we have described numerically the banking business environment for each of the countries surveyed by BMI. We do this through our Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating (CBBER), a measure that ensures we capture the latest quantitative information available. It also ensures consistency across all countries and between the inputs to the CBBER and the Insurance Business Environment Rating, which is likewise now a feature of our insurance reports. Like the Business Environment Ratings calculated by BMI for all the other industries on which it reports, the CBBER takes into account the limits of potential returns and the risks to the realisation of those returns. It is weighted 70% to the former and 30% to the latter.

The evaluation of the Limits of Potential Returns includes market elements that are specific to the banking industry of the country in question and elements that relate to that country in general. Within the 70% of the CBBER that takes into account the Limits of Potential Returns, the market elements have a 60% weighting and the country elements have a 40% weighting. The evaluation of the Risks to Realisation of Returns also includes banking elements and country elements (specifically, BMI’s assessment of long-term country risk). However, within the 30% of the CBBER that takes into account the risks, these elements are weighted 40% and 60%, respectively.

Further details on how we calculate the CBBER are provided at the end of this report. In general, though, three aspects need to be borne in mind in interpreting the CBBERs. The first is that the market elements of the Limits of Potential Returns are by far the most heavily weighted of the four elements. They account for 60% of 70% (or 42%) of the overall CBBER. Second, if the market elements are significantly higher than the country elements of the Limits of Potential Returns, it usually implies that the banking sector is (very) large and/or developed relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Conversely, if the market elements are significantly lower than the country elements, it usually means that the banking sector is small and/or underdeveloped relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Third, within the Risks to Realisation of Returns category, the market elements (ie: how regulations affect the development of the sector, how regulations affect competition within it, and Moody’s Investors Service’s ratings for local currency deposits) can be markedly different from BMI’s long-term risk rating.
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Original Source: Germany Commercial Banking Report Q4 2010
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ReportsandReports – Germany Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q4 2010

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In BMI’s Business Environment Ratings (BER) for Q410, Germany retained its position as the most attractive pharmaceutical market in Western Europe, out of the ten countries surveyed. The ratings criteria serve to reinforce our estimation of the country’s potential owing to its strong emphasis on the regulatory environment. On a global basis, Germany ranks fifth, behind the US, Australia, Canada and Japan. However, the German market – valued at EUR37.84bn (US$53.30bn) – will increasingly be seen as a challenge, especially for innovative drugmakers. The new government is discussing a raft of measures, some of which may signal an end to the free pricing of novel products in the country.
In fact, the above factors, in combination with the pending patent cliff, are expected to result in a negative five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the German’s pharmaceutical market, namely of -0.99% and -3.33% in local currency and US dollar terms, respectively. While some growth will return over our longer, ten-year forecasts, given the increased use of personalised medicine and biotechnology products, growth will remain subdued, at 0.36% and -0.83%, respectively. On the other hand, the expected development of the generics market will provide opportunities for strong players, with US major Pfizer also potentially entering into the fray, having recently being mentioned in relation to the possible sale of German generics specialists Stada Arzneimittel. Previously, Pfizer had targeted another German generics company – Ratiopharm – which was eventually acquired by Israeli generics giant Teva.
In the meantime, the direction of the proposed healthcare reforms put forward by the new government is far from ensured. In July 2010, the future of the conservative coalition administration under Chancellor Angela Merkel is looking increasingly uncertain. Coalition bickering, falling approval ratings, and the loss of the all-important state of North-Rhine Westphalia in the first of a wave of local elections in May 2010 all suggest that Berlin's ambitious reform agenda is over before it has had a chance to begin. Key tests will be the ability to administer highly controversial budget cuts to the tune of EUR82bn by 2014, while taking a leading role in ensuring the future stability of the eurozone. The proposal to introduce fixed health insurance fees has already been shelved.
In the meantime, the pharmaceutical industry can take comfort in the fact that Germany's economic recovery is in full swing, as the improving domestic consumer climate and strong foreign demand see the industrial sector firing on all cylinders. However, with the economy highly geared towards the export sector, Germany remains vulnerable to cyclical downturns in global demand. In fact, we caution that the anticipated slowdown in US and Chinese economic activity will weigh on Germany's growth outlook into 2011. This suggests to us that trend growth will come in below the currently projected 2.0% real GDP growth rate for this year, which will also have an impact on the availability of public healthcare finances.

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ReportsandReports – Germany Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q4 2010

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In BMI’s Business Environment Ratings (BER) for Q410, Germany retained its position as the most attractive pharmaceutical market in Western Europe, out of the ten countries surveyed. The ratings criteria serve to reinforce our estimation of the country’s potential owing to its strong emphasis on the regulatory environment. On a global basis, Germany ranks fifth, behind the US, Australia, Canada and Japan. However, the German market – valued at EUR37.84bn (US$53.30bn) – will increasingly be seen as a challenge, especially for innovative drugmakers. The new government is discussing a raft of measures, some of which may signal an end to the free pricing of novel products in the country.
In fact, the above factors, in combination with the pending patent cliff, are expected to result in a negative five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the German’s pharmaceutical market, namely of -0.99% and -3.33% in local currency and US dollar terms, respectively. While some growth will return over our longer, ten-year forecasts, given the increased use of personalised medicine and biotechnology products, growth will remain subdued, at 0.36% and -0.83%, respectively. On the other hand, the expected development of the generics market will provide opportunities for strong players, with US major Pfizer also potentially entering into the fray, having recently being mentioned in relation to the possible sale of German generics specialists Stada Arzneimittel. Previously, Pfizer had targeted another German generics company – Ratiopharm – which was eventually acquired by Israeli generics giant Teva.
In the meantime, the direction of the proposed healthcare reforms put forward by the new government is far from ensured. In July 2010, the future of the conservative coalition administration under Chancellor Angela Merkel is looking increasingly uncertain. Coalition bickering, falling approval ratings, and the loss of the all-important state of North-Rhine Westphalia in the first of a wave of local elections in May 2010 all suggest that Berlin's ambitious reform agenda is over before it has had a chance to begin. Key tests will be the ability to administer highly controversial budget cuts to the tune of EUR82bn by 2014, while taking a leading role in ensuring the future stability of the eurozone. The proposal to introduce fixed health insurance fees has already been shelved.
In the meantime, the pharmaceutical industry can take comfort in the fact that Germany's economic recovery is in full swing, as the improving domestic consumer climate and strong foreign demand see the industrial sector firing on all cylinders. However, with the economy highly geared towards the export sector, Germany remains vulnerable to cyclical downturns in global demand. In fact, we caution that the anticipated slowdown in US and Chinese economic activity will weigh on Germany's growth outlook into 2011. This suggests to us that trend growth will come in below the currently projected 2.0% real GDP growth rate for this year, which will also have an impact on the availability of public healthcare finances.

About Us

ReportsandReports comprises an online library of 10,000 reports, in-depth market research studies of over 5000 micro markets, and 25 industry specific websites. Our client list boasts almost all well-known publishers of such reports across the globe. We as a third-party reseller of market research reports employ a number of marketing tools, such as press releases, email-marketing and effective search-engine optimization techniques to drive revenues for our clients. We also provide 24/7 online and offline support service to our customers.

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ReportsandReports - The Green Energy in Germany: Renewable sources, capacity growth and future outlook

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During 2004–08, Germany’s electricity generation increased at a low CAGR of 0.7% largely due to adoption of energy efficiency measures with the aim to reduce growth in demand. Germany’s energy policy is governed by the strategy to reduce dependence on imports of fossil fuels, while simultaneously switching to renewable and clean energy technologies. With the introduction of feed-in tariffs under the EEG in 2000, renewable energy technologies experienced strong growth. In order to meet the emission reduction target laid out in the EU directive, Germany adopted its own national climate action plan. At present, German government incentives and mandates are the main drivers of renewable energy in Germany.
This report documents the growth of the German renewable energy market, showing its current status and projecting where it is likely to grow to in the foreseeable future.
This document gathers the statistical data on the different types of energy generation, combines and contrasts them against each other to show the clear leaders, drivers to change and future growth.
Key features of this report

Overview of the German electricity market with focus on renewable energy. Analysis of energy type volumes, capacity installed, and generation output in Germany.
Growth of renewables – installed capacity and generation, government mandates and incentives, and comparative economics.
Information and analysis by renewable energy sector – wind, biomass, hydro, solar, geothermal, and biofuels.
Installed capacity and generation, global comparison, key players, economics, drivers, resistors, and outlook for each renewable energy sector.

Scope of this report

Achieve a quick and comprehensive understanding of how German market trends and legislation are influencing the development of the renewable energy market.
Assess the emerging trends in renewable energy technology – wind, biomass, hydropower, solar, geothermal, and biofuels – capacity and generation.
Quantify value and volume growth potential in German electricity market and in energy generation technology type.
Understand the major issues affecting the German electricity industry in general and renewable electricity in particular.
Predict the key growth areas in the German renewable energy industry.

Key Market Issues

EU Emission Reduction Targets: Historically, the EU’s emission reduction targets are the primary drivers for implementation of policies that encouraged usage of renewable energy in the EU member states. The EU’s directive on reducing GHG emissions through increased usage of renewable energy is expected to be met at individual country-level through their own policies.
Renewable Energy Incentives and Mandates: In order to meet the emission reduction target laid out in the EU directive, Germany adopted its own national climate action plan. The EEG enacted in 2000 regularly monitors and adjusts the tariffs to suit market conditions and technological developments.
Energy Security: Germany is increasingly substituting its fuel-based power generation with domestically-produced renewable energy, primarily to reduce its dependency on imports of fossil fuels from countries such as Russia.

Key findings from this report

In 2008, Germany’s electricity generation totaled 612.8TWh, an increase of 0.3% over 2007. During 2004–08, Germany’s electricity generation increased at a low CAGR of 0.7% largely due to adoption of energy efficiency measures with the aim to reduce growth in demand.
Contribution of fossil-fuel based generation to the total electricity generation in Germany reduced from 90.3% in 2004 to 84.9% in 2008, while share of renewables increased from 9.7% in 2004 to 15.1% in 2008. Germany’s increased preference for renewables is driven by the need to replace fossil fuels while countering climate change.
Installed capacity for electricity generation from renewable sources increased from 4,651MW in 1990 to 37,406MW in 2008 largely led by phenomenal growth in wind energy capacity from 56MW in 1990 to 23,895MW in 2008.

Key questions answered

What are the drivers shaping and influencing new capacity installed in the energy industry?
How will renewable energy technologies capacity share perform to 2050? What are the opportunities?
What are the forecast market growth rates 2008-2050?
What is the policy framework governing the renewable energy market?

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ReportsandReports – Smart Energy Meters Market in Germany 2009-2013

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Smart energy meter is a software-based, power efficient device that accurately tracks the energy consumption. Meter readings can be transmitted to distributors/utilities over wireless media; thus, eliminating the need of a manual meter reading collection process. The Smart energy meter offers major benefits to both the customers and companies, in terms of efficiency, reliability, and cost saving.
The Smart meter technology is designed to show the exact use of energy; allowing them to curb its use, save money, and cut carbon emissions. These meters provide a wide range of advanced features. Such features include the ability to detect service outage, unauthorized use of electricity and change the maximum amount of electricity that a customer can demand. Further, they help in remotely changing the meter's billing plan from credit to pre-paid, as well as from flat-rate to multi-tariff.
In Germany, the amendment of the Energy Economy Law in 2008 brought about the quick liberalization of meter reading services. This led to developments in the Smart meter market. The increasing energy requirements, compliance to technical targets and the rapidly increasing residential sector are further driving the sales of the Smart meters in Germany. Moreover, a full-fledged large scale implementation of Smart energy meters in every household within Germany is yet to be observed.
The report by TechNavio Insights forecasts the size of the smart energy meters market in Germany over the period 2009-2013. Further, it discusses the key market trends, drivers and challenges of the smart energy meters market in Germany and profiles some of the key vendors of this industry.

1. Introduction
2. Smart Energy Meters in Germany Market Size & Forecast
3. Smart Energy Meters in Europe Market Trends
4. Smart Energy Meters in Europe Market Drivers
5. Smart Energy Meters Market in Germany Market Challenges

6. Smart Energy Meters Market in Germany Vendors
6.1 Echelon Corporation
6.2 Elster Group
6.3 General Electric
6.4 Itron Inc
6.5 Kamstrup A/S
6.6 Siemens
Other Reports in this Series

List of Exhibits
Exhibit 2.1: Smart Energy Meters in Germany Market Size & Forecast 2009-2013 (In $ million)

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ReportsandReports – Germany Autos Report Q4 2010

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Despite significant improvement in the global economic outlook, BMI remains concerned that the operating environment is likely to remain far from easy for European carmakers. Already faced with a much anticipated weak recovery in vehicle demand in 2010, European carmakers are now being tested on soaring raw material prices. Steel, which generally accounts for as much as 10-15% of carmakers' manufacturing costs, is set for a steep increase in price, posing a new threat to auto firms this year. BMI prescribes carmakers speed up cooperation for economising on production costs as a short- to mediumterm strategy.
This was illustrated in Daimler’s tie-up with Renault and Nissan Motor where they agreed to cooperate in areas ranging from compact cars to light commercial vehicles and powertrains in a bid to save on production costs and complement one another’s vehicle technology. Although German carmakers have lagged behind their European counterparts in terms of development of alternative fuel vehicles, BMI believes German carmakers are among the best positioned to benefit from the imminent recovery in the global auto market.
Initial sings of this emerged in Q110 when the country recorded a 28% y-o-y increase in export orders and nearly a 32% y-o-y increase in its production in the first quarter, assembling 1.38mn units. The optimism has prompted BMI to upgrade its production forecast to a 5.5% y-o-y growth in auto production, to 5.5mn units, by the end of this year. However, taking into account the overall slow recovery in Europe’s auto demand and the uncertainty created during mass transition to electric vehicles, BMI believes that a full recovery in auto production may not be possible until 2013. Meanwhile, domestic demand has remained fairly in track with BMI’s expected 20% y-o-y drop this year, with passenger car sales reaching 670,500 units in Q110, down 23% y-o-y. However, we expect significant rebound in sales from 2011 when the outlook for both passenger cars and commercial vehicles will begin looking up, in line with a 1.5% y-o-y growth during 2011. This will take vehicle demand up more than 5% y-o-y and continue growing thereafter, to reach near recovery level by 2012. However, the saturated nature of the German market and the relatively high vehicle ownership levels will mean that the market will fail to attain very strong growth rates.
Despite its limited long-term growth potential, Germany heads BMI’s business environment ratings for the auto industry in Europe, thanks to the unparalleled size of its market. However, we stress this position could be challenged if Russia – the one time leader in the ratings – makes a strong rebound thanks to its vehicle scrappage scheme. Germany’s competitive landscape may also undergo changes as foreign carmakers increase their presence in the country to market competitive alternative fuel vehicles.
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ReportsandReports – : Germany Infrastructure Report Q4 2010

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Construction and infrastructure forecasts were revised down this quarter despite strong Q210 GDP figures. This is in light of our view that the Q2 robust economic growth is not sustainable and our expectation that the weakness recorded in construction in the first quarter could offset the possible gains made in Q2. Our new forecasts for the construction industry value show moderate growth of 1.13% for 2010 and 2.3% in 2011. Accordingly, industry value is forecast to be EUR99bn and EUR103.3bn in 2010 and 2011 respectively, down from our previous forecast of EUR102bn in 2010 and EUR107bn in 2011. Key developments that contributed to forecasts include:
- Railway development was the major project news this quarter. Deutche Bahn announced plans to invest EUR41bn in capital expenditure on its transport network over the next four years. Around 75% of the amount into rail network and station modernisation the remaining 25% of funds will be put toward acquiring new trains. The company also announced it had signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Swiss Federal Railways (SBB) to develop a railway link, connecting Switzerland and Germany. SBB has agreed to invest CHF1bn (US$945mn) in the rail link, which is likely to become operational by the end of 2014.
- BMI forecasts indicate that infrastructure will account for almost 30% of the total construction sector and gain ground in the coming years as the residential and non-residential building activity stagnates.
- Delays were announced for upgrade work to Berlin-Brandenburg International Airport, as larger security zones must be built in compliance with new EU safety regulations. The airport is now scheduled to be opened on June 3 2012, rather than October 30 2011 as planned. Extra investment of EUR50mn (US$61mn) will be made to upgrade the terminal – this will include the installation of 32 security lines to handle 4,500 passengers and the construction of two pavilions. There will be 36 security screening lines from 2013.
We forecast that Infrastructure industry value is forecast to reach nearly EUR30bn in 2010 and to rise to EUR33bn in 2011 – a real growth of 11%, down from our previous forecast of 18% real growth in 2011. The bullish scenario specifically for the infrastructure sector is based on the German index for orders received in civil engineering, which indicates that orders have been in the black (albeit erratically) in H1 2009 and beginning of 2010. This means growing orderbooks for the industry, which will translate into new activity in the coming months.

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Commercial Fuel Cards Database 2010: Germany now available at ReportsandReports

Dallas, TX: ReportsandReports announce it will carry Commercial Fuel Cards Database 2010: Germany Market Research Report in its Store.

Browse complete Commercial Fuel Cards Database 2010: Germany Report

Datamonitor’s commercial fuel cards data is invaluable for issuers of fuel and fleet cards, fleet leasing companies and other suppliers to the sector. Based on research with card issuers and fuel retailers it provides information on the number of sites accepting each card as well as issued fuel volumes and competitor shares data.

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Benchmark fuel retailers and card providers by volume and value per site, growth rates, market shares and network penetrations.
Dissect this key fuel card market into seven categories including market volumes and values, card numbers, vehicle parc, and network acceptance.
Understand the level of development in this market by accessing growth indicators such as volumes per site, value per card and value per vehicle.

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Toys and Games Sales via Key Retail Formats in Germany to 2013

Dallas, TX: ReportsandReports announce it will carry Toys and Games Sales via Key Retail Formats in Germany to 2013 Market Research Report in its Store.

Introduction

Datamonitor’s ‘Toys and Games Sales via Key Retail Formats in Germany to 2013′ databook provides market value data for seven key market segments and eight key retail distribution channels.It focuses on data and analysis of market revenues and segmentation. It also provides historic and forecast data, as well as a comparison against the top five countries in the market.

Scope

Toys and Games retail sales revenues and analysis from 2003 to 2008 and forecast values up to 2013
Market value of seven categories: infant/pre-school, games and puzzles, activity toys, dolls, ride-ons, plush and other toys and games
Current and forecast analysis of sales via major retail channels in the toys and games industry as well as its sub-categories

Highlights

Toys and Games retail sales in Germany declined at a compound annual growth rate of 0.1% between 2003 and 2008.

Activity toys sales led the toys and games market with a share of 19% in 2008. Other specialists were the leading retail format for activity toys in 2008.

Reasons to Purchase

Design effective marketing and sales strategies by identifying the key growth categories and retail formats in terms of sales
Develop business strategies by understanding the quantitative trends within the toys and games market in Germany
Understand the future direction of the market with reliable historical data and full five year forecasting

Browse complete Toys and Games Sales via Key Retail Formats in Germany to 2013 Report

TABLE OF CONTENTS

DATAMONITOR VIEW 1

Catalyst 1

Summary 1

Methodology 1

TOYS AND GAMES RETAIL SALES OVERVIEW 6

Toys and games retail market definition 6

Toys and games sales overview 7

Toys and games retail sales value, 2003–08 8

Toys and games retail sales value, 2008–13 9

TOYS AND GAMES MARKET SEGMENTATION 10

Market sales analysis by category, 2003–08 10

Market sales analysis by category, 2008–13 13

TOYS AND GAMES SALES ANALYSIS BY KEY RETAIL FORMATS 16

Retail format definitions 16

Toys and games sales analysis by key retail formats, overview 19

Toys and games sales analysis by key retail formats, 2003–08 20

Toys and games sales analysis by key retail formats, 2008–13 21

ACTIVITY TOYS SALES ANALYSIS BY KEY RETAIL FORMATS 22

Activity toys sales analysis by key retail formats, overview 22

Activity toys sales analysis by key retail formats, 2003–08 23

Activity toys sales analysis by key retail formats, 2008–13 24

DOLLS SALES ANALYSIS BY KEY RETAIL FORMATS 25

Dolls sales analysis by key retail formats, overview 25

Dolls sales analysis by key retail formats, 2003–08 26

Dolls sales analysis by key retail formats, 2008–13 27

GAMES AND PUZZLES SALES ANALYSIS BY KEY RETAIL FORMATS 28

Games and puzzles sales analysis by key retail formats, overview 28

Games and puzzles sales analysis by key retail formats, 2003–08 29

Games and puzzles sales analysis by key retail formats, 2008–13 30

INFANT/PRE-SCHOOL SALES ANALYSIS BY KEY RETAIL FORMATS 31

Infant/pre-school sales analysis by key retail formats, overview 31

Infant/pre-school sales analysis by key retail formats, 2003–08 32

Infant/pre-school sales analysis by key retail formats, 2008–13 33

PLUSH SALES ANALYSIS BY KEY RETAIL FORMATS 34

Plush sales analysis by key retail formats, overview 34

Plush sales analysis by key retail formats, 2003–08 35

Plush sales analysis by key retail formats, 2008–13 36

RIDE-ONS SALES ANALYSIS BY KEY RETAIL FORMATS 37

Ride-ons sales analysis by key retail formats, overview 37

Ride-ons sales analysis by key retail formats, 2003–08 38

Ride-ons sales analysis by key retail formats, 2008–13 39

OTHER TOYS AND GAMES SALES ANALYSIS BY KEY RETAIL FORMATS 40

Other toys and games sales analysis by key retail formats, overview 40

Other toys and games sales analysis by key retail formats, 2003–08 41

Other toys and games sales analysis by key retail formats, 2008–13 42

TOYS AND GAMES RETAIL SALES – COUNTRY COMPARISON 43

Toys and games retail sales value of top five countries, 2003–13 43

APPENDIX 45

Methodology 45

Related research 46

Datamonitor consulting 46

Disclaimer 46

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: Sales of toys and games in Germany, value ($m), 2003–13 7

Figure 2: Sales of toys and games in Germany, value ($m), 2003–08 8

Figure 3: Forecast sales of toys and games in Germany, value ($m), 2008–13 9

Figure 4: Sales of toys and games in Germany, value break down by category ($m), 2003–08 10

Figure 5: Sales of toys and games in Germany, value break down by category (%), 2008 12

Figure 6: Forecast sales of toys and games in Germany, value break down by category ($m), 2008–13 13

Figure 7: Sales of toys and games in Germany, value break down by category (%), 2013 15

Figure 8: Toys and games, Germany, revenue split by key retail formats (%), 2008 19

Figure 9: Activity toys, Germany, revenue split by key retail formats (%), 2008 22

Figure 10: Dolls, Germany, revenue split by key retail formats (%), 2008 25

Figure 11: Games and puzzles, Germany, revenue split by key retail formats (%), 2008 28

Figure 12: Infant/pre-school, Germany, revenue split by key retail formats (%), 2008 31

Figure 13: Plush, Germany, revenue split by key retail formats (%), 2008 34

Figure 14: Ride-ons, Germany, revenue split by key retail formats (%), 2008 37

Figure 15: Other toys and games, Germany, revenue split by key retail formats (%), 2008 40

Figure 16: Toys and games, growth comparison (value $m), top five countries 43

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Toys and games retail market definition 6

Table 2: Sales of toys and games in Germany, value ($m), 2003–13 7

Table 3: Sales of toys and games in Germany, value ($m and €m), 2003–08 8

Table 4: Forecast sales of toys and games in Germany, value ($m and €m), 2008–13 9

Table 5: Sales of toys and games in Germany, value break down by category ($m), 2003–08 11

Table 6: Forecast sales of toys and games in Germany, value break down by category ($m), 2008–13 14

Table 7: (Part 1) Retail format definitions 16

Table 8: (Part 2) Retail format definitions 17

Table 9: (Part 3) Retail format definitions 18

Table 10: Toys and games, Germany, revenues split by key retail formats ($m), 2003–08 20

Table 11: Toys and games forecast, Germany, revenues split by key retail formats ($m), 2008–13 21

Table 12: Activity toys, Germany, revenues split by key retail formats ($m), 2003–08 23

Table 13: Activity toys forecast, Germany, revenues split by key retail formats ($m), 2008–13 24

Table 14: Dolls, Germany, revenues split by key retail formats ($m), 2003–08 26

Table 15: Dolls forecast, Germany, revenues split by key retail formats ($m), 2008–13 27

Table 16: Games and puzzles, Germany, revenues split by key retail formats ($m), 2003–08 29

Table 17: Games and puzzles forecast, Germany, revenues split by key retail formats ($m), 2008–13 30

Table 18: Infant/pre-school, Germany, revenues split by key retail formats ($m), 2003–08 32

Table 19: Infant/pre-school forecast, Germany, revenues split by key retail formats ($m), 2008–13 33

Table 20: Plush, Germany, revenues split by key retail formats ($m), 2003–08 35

Table 21: Plush forecast, Germany, revenues split by key retail formats ($m), 2008–13 36

Table 22: Ride-ons, Germany, revenues split by key retail formats ($m), 2003–08 38

Table 23: Ride-ons forecast, Germany, revenues split by key retail formats ($m), 2008–13 39

Table 24: Other toys and games, Germany, revenues split by key retail formats ($m), 2003–08 41

Table 25: Other toys and games forecast, Germany, revenues split by key retail formats ($m), 2008–13 42

Table 26: Global toys and games market split (value $m), top five countries 44

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Reports and Reports comprises an online library of 10,000 reports, in-depth market research studies of over 5000 micro markets, and 25 industry specific websites. Our client list boasts almost all well-known publishers of such reports across the globe. We as a third-party reseller of market research reports employ a number of marketing tools, such as press releases, email-marketing and effective search-engine optimization techniques to drive revenues for our clients. We also provide 24/7 online and offline support service to our customers.

Contact:

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Tel: +1-888-989-8004

Website: http://www.reportsandreports.com/

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Toys and Games Sales via Key Retail Formats in Germany to 2013

Datamonitor’s Toys and Games Sales via Key Retail Formats in Germany to 2013 databook provides market value data for seven key market segments and eight key retail distribution channels.It focuses on data and analysis of market revenues and segmentation. It also provides historic and forecast data, as well as a comparison against the top five countries in the market.

Scope

Toys and Games retail sales revenues and analysis from 2003 to 2008 and forecast values up to 2013
Market value of seven categories: infant/pre-school, games and puzzles, activity toys, dolls, ride-ons, plush and other toys and games
Current and forecast analysis of sales via major retail channels in the toys and games industry as well as its sub-categories

Highlights

Toys and Games retail sales in Germany declined at a compound annual growth rate of 0.1% between 2003 and 2008.

Activity toys sales led the toys and games market with a share of 19% in 2008. Other specialists were the leading retail format for activity toys in 2008.

Reasons to Purchase

Design effective marketing and sales strategies by identifying the key growth categories and retail formats in terms of sales
Develop business strategies by understanding the quantitative trends within the toys and games market in Germany
Understand the future direction of the market with reliable historical data and full five year forecasting