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BMI’s Q310 Iraq Telecommunications Report includes full year figures for 2009, following data published by the country’s two largest operators Zain and Asiacell, together with changes to our forecasts. Furthermore, we have provided latest data for March 2010, after Asiacell published its figures and combined with media reports on figures for Zain and the few other smaller operators that occupy the market.
At the end of 2009, there were 20.312mn mobile subscribers in Iraq, following 61,000 net additions in the final quarter. The market’s Q409 performance was lower than in previous quarters. During Q309, there were 373,000 net additions, in Q209 there were 487,000 net additions and in Q109, there were a impressive 1.078mn net additions added to the market. The lower performance in Q409 is attributed to the government’s prepaid registration scheme. As for the first quarter of 2010, this was not able to match the performance of that in Q109, but the market did see 489,000 net additions to reach a total of 20.801mn subscribers. This lower performance was the result of an estimated decline in Zain’s subscriber base, which reached 10.07mn, as it continued to face competitive pressures from second-ranked Asiacell. Asiacell continues to place pressure on the market leader through price competition as well as its network expansion in order to reach its goal of becoming a national operator. In June 2010, the operator announced that it had expanded its network to the governate of Anbar, including the cities of Rawah, Ubaidi, Karbalah, Husaibah and Haditha, as part of its drive to achieve countrywide coverage in 2010. Asiacell's Chairman Faruk Mustafa Rasool said the operator prides itself on being the first to provide coverage on a national scale.
Since we last reported that the Iraq mobile market was to see the UAE-based operator Etisalat purchase a majority stake in Kurdish operator Korek Telecom, following media reports in February 2010. Etisalat’s CFO announced in April 2010, that it had no interest in the operator and was not nearing any deal with Korek. Furthermore, Etisalat, in June 2010, expressed interest in Iraq's fourth mobile licence. In May 2010, the Baghdad government approved a fourth licence to operate mobile services in the country. The awardee of the licence will hold a 65% stake in the venture, and the rest will be owned by the Iraqi communications ministry.
Iraq rose to ninth place from tenth position in BMI’s most recent set of Business Environment Ratings for the Middle East and North Africa. However, Iraq’s own scores have seen no further changes this quarter.
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